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Council Survey Shows Prices Up, Capacity Down for Cat Exposures

July 2006

Premium prices are escalating and capacity is shrinking for catastrophe-exposed property, but for other commercial lines, the market is soft as carriers compete for noncatastrophe risks, according to the latest commercial property/casualty insurance market index survey by The Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers.

by The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers
Washington, D.C.

The market index survey for the second quarter 2006 found that 51 percent of brokers responding said average premium rates for small accounts were down between 1 and 20 percent. An additional 26 percent of brokers registered no change in small account rates compared with renewals in the first quarter of the year.

The drop in renewal rates was even steeper for medium and large accounts. Nearly six in 10 of the brokers reported medium and large accounts were down 1 to 20 percent.

An analysis of The Council's survey data by Lehman Brothers said commercial premium rates declined by an average of 3 percent for all sizes of accounts during the second quarter of 2006. Among individual property/casualty lines, all experienced a decrease except commercial property, which increased 9.3 percent during the second quarter.

However, for catastrophe-exposed property, it was a sharply different story, the survey showed. Brokers and agents reported that premium rates for coastal properties were up 300 to 500 percent—and some even by 600 percent—and that the impact was being felt as far as five miles inland.

The take-up rate for flood insurance remained at roughly the same level as in the first quarter, but high premium rates and lack of capacity could explain why more property owners aren't getting covered.

The Council represents the leading domestic and international commercial insurance agents and brokers who annually write more than 80 percent of the commercial property/casualty premiums in the United States and administer billions of dollars in employee benefits accounts. Brokers said higher property rates and deductibles and lower coverage limits were the industry standard during the last 3 months, with significant differences in the way catastrophe-exposed property risks were being underwritten.

"This market is changing daily," said a broker from the Southwest. "Capacity is scarce, and it's a great concern that later in the year, there may not be any capacity left. I am referring to the Southeast Gulf Region and Texas in particular."

"Rates are up 300 to 500 percent on commercial property and builders risk," a broker from the Southeast said. "Deductibles increased 200 percent, and (it is) also deductible by location, not by occurrence. In some cases, it makes it almost impossible to have a claim. Clients without bank debt are buying coverage excluding wind and buying the max NFIP (National Flood Insurance Program) flood."

That broker continued, "In South Louisiana, it is very obvious that no underwriter has any final say-so on carrier's capacity. Also, carriers do not understand the Louisiana market or what has been accomplished to prevent another Katrina/Rita. Risk that had no losses from either storm are all treated as if they are six feet below sea level."

He also reported that "carriers are fighting insureds on all aspects of storm claims, business interruption, property, equipment, marine. Any large claim gets delayed through carrier claims reviews and sign-offs for advance payments." He said the delays are forcing insureds to bank lines to rebuild their operations from storm damage.

"The market is extremely soft outside the coastal areas," a broker from the Southeast observed. "The companies seem to be trying to get premium in less cat-prone areas to make up for the premium they are giving up on the coast."

A significantly larger number of agents and brokers cited concerns over capacity as among their top three market worries in this survey. More than half—55 percent—listed capacity, compared with 40 percent who identified it as a top concern in the first quarter survey. The two other top concerns, echoing the results of previous surveys, were the return of price competition and natural catastrophes.

Capacity and pricing problems were not just confined to at-risk properties along the coast, the survey showed. Commercial earthquake insurance is increasing 50 to 100 percent for renewals, several brokers reported, and there also are significant increases in deductibles.

Among the various commercial lines, construction remained problematic.

"Residential construction continues to be a challenge," said a broker from the Pacific Northwest.

"Construction risks (mainly residential) have continued to see rate increases for general liability," agreed a Southeastern agent. "A limited number of carriers are willing to quote GL (general liability) for condo and townhome construction due to defect claims."


Commercial Property—Casualty Market Survey
Second Quarter 2006 Released: July 2006

Below are the survey results for: ALL REGIONS

NUMBER OF RESPONSES: 107

1. On average, how have premium rates changed over the last three months (April 1 - June 30) for the following accounts? Please check N/A if you don't know or don't handle the type of account.

Table 1: Premium Rate Change by Account Size

2. How much have premium rates changed over the last three months (April 1 - June 30) for the following lines? Please check N/A if you don't know or don't handle the line.

Table 2: Premium Rate Change by Coverage Line

Average 2Q06 Commercial Rates Decreased 3.0%

Average Commercial Premium Rate Changes by Account Size

Cumulative Quarterly Rate Increases by Account Size

By-Line 2Q06 Rate Changes Ranged From -6.9% to +9.3%

2Q06 Rate Changes in Other Lines

Average Commercial Rate Increases by Line

Cumulative Quarterly Rate Increases by Line

Insurance Rate Changes, Small Commercial Accounts*

Insurance Rate Changes, Medium Commercial Accounts*

Insurance Rate Changes, Large Commercial Accounts*

Commercial Auto Insurance Rate Changes

Workers' Compensation Insurance Rate Changes

Commercial Property Insurance Rate Changes

Commercial General Liability Insurance Rate Changes

Umbrella Insurance Rate Changes

Business Interruption Insurance Rate Changes


Founded in 1913, The Council is the premier association for commercial insurance and employee benefits intermediaries. The Council represents the leading commercial brokers and agents in the United States and abroad. Council members annually write 80 percent of all commercial property/casualty premiums in the United States and administer billions of dollars in employee benefits accounts. www.ciab.com.


Opinions expressed in Expert Commentary articles are those of the author and are not necessarily held by the author's employer or IRMI. Expert Commentary articles and other IRMI Online content do not purport to provide legal, accounting, or other professional advice or opinion. If such advice is needed, consult with your attorney, accountant, or other qualified adviser.


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