The Brazilian Insurance Market
May 2001
Brazil has been undergoing a political and
economic process of change since the early 1990s, which is reflected in its
insurance market. Learn about its insurance market -- its structure, regulatory
environment, how various coverage lines are handled, and its profitability.
by George
R. Keller
Winterthur International
America Insurance Company
and
Juan Pablo Bragadin
Winterthur International
Argentina
The recent performance and the structure of the Brazilian insurance market
reflect the political and economical process of change, which the country has
been undergoing since the early 1990s. An increasingly stable and vivid democracy,
fiscal policies with the necessary rigor, combined with only a gradual market
opening of the economy, have brought a new feeling of stability to important
parts of the population. This new economic perspective, along with several reforms
and privatization initiatives from the government, has made the insurance market
grow (with an estimated premium volume of BRL 32 billion/US $17 billion). For
the year 2000 (15 percent growth), the gross written insurance premium (GWP)
today represents more than 3 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), up
from only 1.3 percent in 1990.
Structure of the Market
The Brazilian insurance market is usually divided into three different segments:
- Pension (1999 GWP approximately US $2.2
billion or 13 percent of the total market): Privately contracted pension
insurance complementary to the compulsory publicly managed old age/jobless/disability
insurance schemes;
- Capitalization (US $2.4 billion; 14 percent
of the total market): Temporary bonds issued with two return components;
on the one hand a fixed interest rate and on the other hand a so called
game rate, which promises special returns for the winners of periodical
lotteries; and
- General Insurance (US $12.4 billion; 73
percent of the total market): All types of classical insurance, including
property, casualty, life, and health.
In the near future, a fourth important segment could open up: "work accident
insurance."
General Insurance Per Line of Business. Compared
to other major world markets, the General Insurance market (as identified above
and the subject of the remainder of this article) shows a strong bias in favor
of non-life insurance (including health), which represents 81 percent of the
total GWP. This means that Brazil is among the 10 largest non-life markets in
the world. As a market with a historically poor inflation record, life insurance
has only recently picked up. Brazil is number 27 in this segment. The following
two charts illustrate the distribution of GWP among lines of business.
Graph
1
General Insurance per Type of Insurer. There
are 135 insurers active in the market. Considering the fact that some are owned
by the same holding interests, we come to a total of 92 players.
Similar to other recently opened insurance markets, there are two trends
to observe. On the one hand, the concentration of premium within a small group
of big, often bank-related insurance companies and on the other hand a growing
participation of the companies with foreign capital. As of the end of the first
half 2000, the 5 biggest companies (Sul América, Bradesco, Porto Seguro, AIG/Unibanco,
and Itau) represented 57.33 percent of all GWP in the General Insurance market.
Taking all insurance companies with foreign interests together (more than 30),
they achieved a market share of 29.54 percent as of the end of 1999. This is
a real change in the market structure. In 1996 when the market was opened and
allowed foreign ownership, foreign interests at that time only controlled 6.33
percent of the market.
Graph
2
Besides these bigger players, the following international companies are also
developing significant activities in the Brazilian market: Ace, Axa, BBV, CCF,
CGU, Chubb, Cigna, Generali, Gerling, Hannover, Kyoei, Met Life, Mitsui, Nationwide,
Principal, Prudential, Reliance, Royal & Sun Alliance, Santander, Winterthur
International, Yasuda, and Zurich. Most of these companies are working in a
niche market or are looking for strategic options to grow to a reasonable market
share in order to survive successfully in the commercial/personal lines business.
Regulatory Environment
The "Decreto-Lei 73/66" and thereof-derived regulations are the centerpiece
of insurance market regulation, which established the following important rules:
- That the regulation and supervision of the insurance market is a central
government privilege (no state government involvement).
- Non-admitted insurance is not allowed.
- Broker involvement is mandatory for all insurance contracts. The only
admitted reinsurance company is the "IRB Brasil Resseguros, S.A." (IRB).
- The main compulsory insurance contracts are fire insurance, inland transit
insurance, inland transit carrier liability insurance, and motor liability
insurance (low limits).
- The regulatory body of the insurance market is the "Superintendência
de Seguros Privados (SUSEP)," which is assisted in its operational/technical
controlling functions by the IRB.
The Question of the Future of the IRB. It is
widely known that the Brazilian reinsurance market shall be opened. To enable
opening of the reinsurance market, the IRB will have to be privatized. Nevertheless,
the sale of the IRB has not been easy and, above all, has not been concluded
at this time for several reasons.
First, there are still legal battles about the constitutionality of the envisaged
changes of the functions and character of the IRB between the workers union
and the existing central government (since July 2000 at the Brazilian Supreme
Court). Second, it has turned out very difficult to know how much the IRB is
really worth, which is said to be one of the reasons why the bidding process
was called off twice during 2000. And third, and maybe most important, a general
lack of political will might exist. In times with growing skepticism toward
globalization and undifferentiated markets opening among wide parts of the population,
decreasing fiscal deficits and presidential elections ever closer, the political
calculation of risk and opportunity of a privatization and reinsurance market
opening may not be as positive anymore as back in 1996 when the process was
started.
Meanwhile, attracted by the potential of Brazil as the largest insurance
market of Latin America, 18 reinsurance companies have opened representative
offices in Brazil (Allianz, American, Copenhagen, Employers, General & Cologne,
Gerling Global, Hannover, Latin American, Mapfre, Muenchener, Scor, Secura,
Sorema, Swiss, Tela, The Toa, Transatlantic, and Zurich Re). The companies pre-qualified
to participate in the bid for the IRB were Bradesco, Munich Re, Opportunity,
Swiss Re, and Transatlantic-Re.
Underwriting Property and Casualty Insurance
Besides the fact of a closed, monopolistic reinsurance market, underwriting
in Brazil is not very different from the underwriting in other countries. In
terms of coverages, the local market is highly developed and provides a range
of products similar to that available in most other developed countries.
Main Perils. The main peril in property insurance
today is theft. Frequency and severity are very high—from the theft of a laptop
computer in a parked car to the well organized assault on a supermarket during
daytime—everything is possible. Theft of goods in transit has seen an enormous
increase during the past years; a trend which has only recently slowed down,
mainly due to increasing risk consciousness and prevention by the involved industries.
According to estimates by one of the main brokers in this line of business,
approximately 5,200 insured thefts in transit will occur in 2000 with a total
payout by the insurance companies of approximately BRL 400 million.
When talking about theft in Brazil, the criminal element is highly organized.
Gangs are often composed of one to two dozen individuals equipped with high
firepower and modern communication equipment.
Other important property exposures are wind and flood but both reduced to
specific locations and periods during the year. As a rule, Brazil is not exposed
to massive natural hazard events.
Casualty has not been a big headache to the insurance industry so far, perhaps
with the exception of transport liability. In Brazil the transport company is
responsible for the delivery of goods, which it accepted to transport and insure
up to the full shipment value. If there is an accident on the road or damage
due to errors when the goods were packed by the transport company, the law determines
that the transport company and not the shipment owner has to absorb the corresponding
losses, except for cases where the losses were due to force majeur or, of course,
due to negligence of any other party, e.g., the shipment owner.
It is thereby still an open issue, if losses due to hijacking—given the high
frequency—are still to be considered as an unforeseeable event and therefore
not subject to the liability of the transport company. The outcome of the many
pending lawsuits about this issue will finally determine if the theft exposure
will continue to be covered in the transport liability coverage in the first
place or if the shipment owner will need to contract and use the theft coverage
themselves as part of his inland/marine insurance.
Coverages. As mentioned in former paragraphs,
all typical coverages and even tailor-made wordings are available in the local
market. Nevertheless, depending on the reinsurance treaties available, not all
wordings may be applicable to all risks.
In property insurance, for minor risks (up to a Total Insured Value (TIV)
per single risk of US $40 million and a policy loss limit below US $40 million),
there are typically only named perils wordings available. As the named perils
other than fire, lightning, and explosion are rated with a fixed rate times
the insured limit, these additional perils are usually not insured up to full
value/loss limit. Also, the business interruption exposure is very often not
covered for a full 12-month period but is sometimes limited to the necessary
time period, according to the foregoing risk analysis.
While package policies, which include coverage for almost all property and
even basic casualty exposures are available, most of the crime, engineering
and casualty exposures can only be written up to a certain sublimit within such
policies. If they exceed those limits, they have to be placed within the corresponding
line portfolio as separate policies (e.g., theft, construction risks, etc.).
Inland transit sublimits within property policies are extremely rare and would
usually only cover very specific exposures such as transport of equipment between
two business locations but would, for example, almost never cover the theft
exposure for industrial operations. Marine coverage is almost never granted
as part of a property policy. As a specific feature, fidelity limits of a few
hundred thousand U.S dollars are not uncommon in local property policies.
Casualty insurance offers a surprisingly wide range of coverages even for
smaller clients. Beside the specific exposures of the aeronautic, nuclear, and
petroleum industries, which are managed as separate lines of business, general
liability policies from most insurance companies may grant, without further
complications, coverage for special liabilities such as those related to sports
activities, port management, product recall, employers liability, etc.
This wide-ranging availability of specific coverages has its roots with the
position of the IRB, which in the past developed and distributed the corresponding
tariffs on the basis of nationwide statistics. On the other hand, most of these
coverages are limited in their extent, e.g., a standard products recall coverage
only covers communication and warehousing costs related to a product recall
action, and this usually only up to 10 percent of the products liability coverage
of the same policy, applying typically a 20 percent deductible on each and every
loss. Therefore, a good analysis of the exposure and the offered coverage are
crucial in order to cover exactly the exposure which is intended to be transferred
to an insurance company.
Is Brazil a "Tariff Market"? It is often said
that Brazil is a "tariff country," meaning that there is a fixed price for a
fixed set of risk/limit/coverage combinations. Does this still hold true?
According to the above mentioned "Decreto Lei 73/66," the IRB was in charge
of the operational regulation of the local insurance market. The only admitted
reinsurer was at the same time the governmental body, which ensured that the
insurance companies were applying insurance conditions and tariffs in line with
the national interest. This control was highly effective, as nobody wanted to/or
could afford putting at risk his reinsurance coverage, because the officially
approved tariffs were not fully respected.
In this sense until late 1999, there was no doubt that Brazil was a tariff
country. For each and every risk on which the IRB participated (e.g., general
liability on every policy with at least 1 percent; inland/marine on every policy
by means of excess of loss coverage with calculated reinsurance premiums on
each and every insured transport, etc.) the tariff conditions had to be respected.
In December 1999 another piece was added to the reinsurance market opening
process, as the parliament approved the law 9.932/99, which transferred the
former regulation authorities from the IRB to the SUSEP. With this move, the
insurance companies were no longer forced to use the insurance conditions and
rates approved by the IRB. In the new spirit of the IRB being one reinsurer
among many, the products and tariff elaboration were no longer in the hands
of the IRB, but each and every insurance company could now file its own products
(it became mandatory to do so), including rate structures, and would then negotiate
the "best reinsurance available."
Of course, the position of the IRB is still very strong, as the monopoly
has not been broken up yet. But in the light of being potentially exposed to
an open market, recent reinsurance treaty negotiations have become easier. Above
all, whatever risk lies within a company's retention (maximum 3 percent on net
worth per line) does not need any approval from the IRB anymore, as long as
it is in line with the company's product and has been filed with the SUSEP.
It may be added that the SUSEP is not actively approving the filed products
but may only veto formal errors in the policy wordings or, for example, rate
structures that are not sustainable from an actuarial point of view.
Unfortunately, it is exactly this same new law, 9.932/99, which is subject
to the aforementioned legal battles around the privatization of the IRB; therefore,
at least in theory, the new procedures have been suspended since July 2000.
Nevertheless, the market works in reality, at least for the moment, according
to the rules stipulated by the IRB privatization legislation. In this sense,
a valid answer to the question asked in the above paragraph could be as follows.
Brazil is de facto a (IRB) tariff country for risks with loss limits which
exceed substantially the maximum retention of a line of business of a company.
But theoretically for all risks and de facto for risks with low loss limits,
companies are only bound to the products and tariffs that they created themselves.
In such cases, even the pricing of their own tariff could be avoided by giving
so-called commercial discounts. Although, the insurance company must set up
unearned premium reserves based on the tariff price, which puts certain limits
on that procedure. In conclusion, we would say that in Brazil the tariff market
is diminishing, and there is a movement more to a file-and-prior-approval method
of rate and form regulatory system.
Reinsurance Cessions to Reinsurers Outside Brazil. The rule is that retrocessions of premiums out of Brazil can only be negotiated
on a case-to-case basis and are, from a decision-making point of view, fully
dependent on the IRB. In such cases, the insurer with the contact to the local
broker and client, as well as to the foreign reinsurance company, acts as a
kind of reinsurance broker at the same time as being the insurer. As soon as
it has all underwriting information available, discussions with the IRB begin.
Usually if the policy loss limit is very high or when the insurance conditions
or the characteristics of the local risk are very special, then the IRB supports
efforts to place risks partly with reinsurers of the choice of the ceding insurance
company. In these cases, reinsurance retrocessions are arranged on a policy
basis (the ceding reinsurer cedes 100 percent to the IRB, which then retrocedes
to the foreign reinsurer), usually subject to an overrider of 10 percent for
the IRB plus 2 percent tax on premiums retroceded to reinsurers located outside
Brazil.
Currently, there is no clear rule about the loss limit threshold that triggers
the willingness of the IRB to retrocede to foreign reinsurers on a policy basis.
Nevertheless, we would dare to say that it is extremely unlikely that directed
retrocessions can be arranged for property risks with a loss limit below US
$100 million and for casualty and inland marine risks with limits below US $10
million.
Profitability of the Market
Last but not least, a word about the profitability of the insurance business
in Brazil. The combined ratio of the market during the past 4 years has moved
between 104 and 109, which might be no surprise to global insurance market watchers.
Thanks to relatively high interest rates, this result could be turned around
on a net after-tax income basis; market returns on equity of 13 to 15 percent
have been the rule. Given the country and currency risk and inflation rates,
which are still moving substantially above the rates in Europe or the United
States, that level of return may not have fully satisfied the expectation of
all investors.
Opinions expressed in Expert Commentary articles are those of the author and are
not necessarily held by the author’s employer or IRMI. This article does not purport
to provide legal, accounting, or other professional advice or opinion. If such advice
is needed, consult with your attorney, accountant, or other qualified adviser.